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federal reserve signals cautious approach amid stagflationary concerns
Goldman Sachs notes a "cautious tone" from the Federal Reserve, which is currently in a "wait-and-see mode" regarding the U.S. growth outlook and trade policies. Recent FOMC projections suggest a "stagflationary" scenario, with growth and inflation forecasts moving in opposite directions, raising concerns about a potential economic slowdown.
consumer spending remains strong despite rising pessimism says bank of america ceo
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan stated that despite weak consumer confidence data, spending remains robust. He noted a disconnect between consumer pessimism in surveys and actual spending behavior, suggesting the economy may be more resilient than perceived.
China's growth outlook relies on effective stimulus measures and policy execution
Goldman Sachs highlights that China's economic growth outlook is closely tied to the effective execution of recent stimulus measures. While consumption-boosting initiatives have improved confidence, their success hinges on funding availability and policy implementation. Key factors include local governments' ability to channel financial support, household and business responses to incentives, and the measures' effectiveness against challenges like weak property demand and trade uncertainties.
liquidity in s and p futures declines amid market uncertainty and caution
Liquidity in S&P 500 futures has dropped to rarely seen levels, with significant declines also noted in single stocks, reflecting investor caution amid uncertainties over tariffs, immigration, and geopolitical issues. While there is cautious optimism towards equities, traditional long-only investors remain sidelined, and market participants doubt a near-term break above 6,000 for the S&P 500.
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